In today's context, the capital
market in India has a pivotal role to discharge in channelling the savings
in the economy from households and corporate, to productive use in nation
building. As our economy matures the dynamics of the market place are becoming
increasingly significant in the process of resource allocation. The growth
and development of our financial markets while offering new opportunities
to investors, issuers and other market participants, is also introducing
new complexities and risks. In this environment, inadequate information
can lead t market inefficiencies. Therefore, availability of quality information
is a necessary pre-condition for the healthy operation of the capital markets.
We at ICRA felt that as an information
disbursing agency, it was incumbent upon us to take the initiative in contributing
towards the enhancement of the capital mobilising process through equity
by way of authentic information, particularly when equity remains the dominant
fund option. As you know, equity does not have any specific obligations
to service which makes it an "open-ended" instrument, in contrast to debt
which may be called "close-ended" as the interest charge and principal
repayments are defined and the cash accruals of a company can be measured
against these obligations (benchmark) to arrive at a "cushion" or safety
rating (credit rating). The open-ended nature of equity poses a problem
of a lack of benchmark against which the performance of the company can
be compared with. However, the need to discriminate between equity issues
required us to find solutions to overcome these character constraints of
equity in a manner that would encourage can investment process rather than
fuel speculation in stocks. At the same time, to enable the information
(on quality of equity available through an issue) to be disseminated widely
(to retail investors) and in a user-friendly manner, the analysis of the
fundamentals of the company require to be "packaged" in form of a Grade,
which holds true for the concept of debt rating also. While packaging the
equity analysis as a grade, keeping in mind the problem of the open-ended
nature of equity (where there are no benchmarks to start with), requires
that these performance benchmarks be created (proprietary benchmarks) which
will then enable the performance of the company to be compared with these
benchmarks and thus impart a close-ended character to the equity analysis.
Equity Grading is designed to examine-equity in the medium to long-term
context. The opinion on the earnings prospects and the inherent risks is
arrived at through comprehensive information acquisition, interaction with
management of the corporate, critical analysis and a collective judgmental
process. Although Equity Grades are not forecasts of the future market
price performance of the stock and do not indicate the companies compliance
or violation of any statutory requirements related to the issue, they differentiate
equity based on the fundamentals of a company. The unique advantage of
Equity Grading is in its symbolic expression which can be easily understood
by any investor. Equity Grading is structured to examine in detail the
complex combination of variables affecting the company's functioning leading
to a judgement on the level, growth and quality of the expected earnings
over the medium and long term along with the risks inherent in these prospects.
Previous track record is an important element in influencing the judgement
on the future. Although it is commonly argued that equity returns (mainly
capital appreciation) rarely follow any logic, the importance of the fundamentals
cannot be underestimated. Although market sentiment, rumours or insider
information tend to delink fundamentals form returns to investors in the
short term (more so in the absence of a credible opinion on fundamentals
from an independent agency), it is in fact the fundamentals that not only
determine the return on the investment over the medium and long term, but
also decide the resource allocative dynamics of he market.
Equity Grading thus encourages the
investment strategy of investing in a company rather than the stock market.
By this logic, Equity Grading facilitates an information enhanced investment
decision and in the process strengthens the hands of all those entities
and participants in the capital market who want to help the flow of investible
funds towards productive and competitive enterprise.
ICRA's equity gradings are differentiated
into four Earnings Prospect categories with three levels of associated
risk factors in each. The grades are :
-
ERA1:Excellent Earnings Prospects; Low
Risk
-
ERA2:Excellent Earnings Prospects; Moderate
Risk
-
ERA3:Excellent Earnings Prospects; High
Risk
-
ERB1:Good Earnings Prospects; Low Risk
-
ERB2:Good Earnings Prospects; Low Risk
-
ERB3:Good Earnings Prospects; High Risk
-
ERC1:Moderate Earnings Prospects; Low
Risk
-
ERC2:Moderate Earnings Prospects; Moderate
Risk
-
ERC3:Moderate Earnings Prospects; High
Risk
-
ERD1:Poor Earnings Prospects; Moderate
Risk
-
ERD2:Poor Earnings Prospects;
Moderate Risk
-
ERD3:Poor Earnings Prospects; High Risk
The function of the grate is to help
the investor discriminate between investment option at a given point of
time. These grades act as an additional input in the investors' ongoing
efforts of portfolio maintenance. Although the grading is designed to help
investors, in their decisions, the grades are not recommendations to buy,
hold or sell, since it is left to the investor to decide for himself as
to what he prefers. For example, a risk averse investor may prefer an ERB1
(Good earnings prospects; Low risk) whereas a risk taker may find ERA2
(Excellent earnings prospects; moderate risk) more suitable to his profile.
The EPRA range of services includes Equity Grading and Equity Assessment.
Equity Grading is done at the request of the issue proposing to make an
equity offer to the public. The issuer has the option of using or not using
the assigned Grade. Once accepted, the grade and the rationale are made
public and the grades are kept under surveillance.
Equity Assessment is done at the
request of an investor and with the consent of the corporate whose equity
is under study this results in a private report to the investor.
The function of the grades is to
help the investor discriminate between investment option at a given point
time. These grades act as an additional input in the investors' ongoing
efforts of portfolio maintenance. It is essential for an investor to know
about a company and its future prospects in order to make a choice between
the various alternatives available to him. This choice, so far has largely
been associated with name recognition. The perception of a common investor
of the prospects of a company largely depended on his familiarity with
the names of the promoter or collaborators. An astute investor knows that
name recognition is no substitute for objective risk and prospects evaluation.
It is not true that every venture promoted by a well known name will be
successful and therefore provide attractive returns on investment. Neither
is it true that ventures promoted by relatively lesser known names may
not be good investment options. On the one hand name recognition restricts
the options available to an investor, on the other, it denies relatively
lesser known entrepreneurs access to the wider investor base notwithstanding
his true prospects. In this environment it is rarely feasible for a corporate
issuer to offer every prospective investor the opportunity to undertake
a detailed evaluation of the investment option. Further is even rarer for
a heterogeneous group of investors to arrive at a meaningful and consistent
conclusion as to the relative quality of equity, especially when they do
not possess the requisite skills of evaluation.
Internationally, credit rating agencies
like Standard and Poor's (S&P) and Moody's Investors Service (Moody's)
have long been in the business of giving opinions on the equity quality
of corporates. While S&P has a method of ranking common stocks on the
basis of earnings and dividend records, Moody's has a system of classifying
stocks based on their quality into grades.
We believe that Equity Grading fulfils
a long felt need. It bridges critical information gaps and will go a long
way in deepening investor confidence. As equity grading extends the perimeters
of the disclosure requirement for corporates to access the capital market,
it is an enhancement of the disclosure process. |