POWER SCENARIO
India had a generating capacity
in power utilities of about 85,000 MW as on March 31, 1997 i.e. the end
of Eighth Five Year Plan. About 63% of this capacity was with state power
utilities about 32% with Central power utilities and only about 5% in private
sector. This generating capacity, however, could not meet the demand for
power, leading to electricity energy shortage of about 11% and peaking
shortages of about 18% as on March 31, 1997. For a 6.5% rate of growth
projected for the economy, the demand for power will grow at the rate of
about 9.10% per annum. Capacity addition during first two years of the
Ninth Plan have been about 7500 MW. This is expected to pick up towards
the end of Ninth Plan (2001-02) when an annual capacity addition rate of
about 8000-10000 MW may be achieved. This would require an investment of
about Rs. 50,000-60,000 crores ($ 12-15 billion) per annum for additional
generating capacity and the associated transmission & distribution
systems as well as other related schemes in order to ensure that power
is supplied to the consumers in the required quantity and quality.
During Tenth Plan (2002-2007), the requirement for investment in the power
sector may go up to about Rs. 80,000-90,000 crores ($ 20 billion) per annum.
After the Indian power sector was
opened up for private investment in generation in 1991, considerable interest
was shown by private investors-both from within the country and abroad.
However, the actual progress on setting up of the IPPs has been very slow.
Apart from the fact that many of the project proposals come from non-serious
promoters, there were also many policy related problems. From the government
side, most of these policy problem areas coming in the slow development
of IPPs, such as fuel linkages both for coal and hydrocarbons, power purchase
agreements, various clearances, incentives etc. have been solved over the
last few years. A hydro power policy and mega power projects policy has
been announced. A Power Trading Corporation has been set up. After necessary
legislation, a Central Electricity Regulation Commission has been constituted
a number of state governments have also set up State Electricity Regulatory
Commissions. Another legislation has allowed the entry of the private sector
investors in transmission projects. A Crisis Resolution Group headed by
Minister of Power has been established to expedite financial closure of
IPPs. A number of states have initiated or committed to initiate
reforms in the state power sector. The stage is now set for rapid private
sector investment in the power sector.
FINANCING OF PUBLIC SECTOR
POWER PROJECTS
According to Ninth Plan, an outlay
of Rs. 1,24,000 crores have been provided for the power sector (Rs. 53,000
crores in the Central Sector and Rs. 71,000 crores in the states sector)
This would work out to an average of about Rs. 25,000 crores per annum.
In our planning system for the public
sector the investment indicated as outlays in the Five year/Annual Plans,
the sources of funding are generally as follows:-
-
Internal resources of the organisation
-
Financing from govt. budget in the form
of equity/loan
-
Multilateral/Bilateral assistance routed
through budget
-
Multilateral/Bilateral loans directly
to the organisation
-
Financial assistance from financial
institutions in the form of term loans, leasing, bill discounting etc.
-
Bonds/debentures from domestic market
-
Suppliers credit(domestic/external)
-
Credit from External Credit Agencies
(ECAs)
-
External Commercial Borrowings(ECB)
-
Other sources such as leasing from private
non-banking financial companies, deposits from consumers, sale of assets
etc.
FINANCING OPTIONS FOR PRIVATE
SECTOR PROJECTS
During the Ninth Plan, balance investment
requirement reaching a level of about Rs. 25,000 crores per annum by the
end of the Ninth Plan will need to come from private sector funding including
Financial Institutions.
Govt. policy guidelines allow a
debt equity ratio for private IPPs of 4:1. While lending to these projects,
most Financial Institutions, however, insist on a debt equity ratio of
70.30 as a prudent policy. Private sector promoters were earlier permitted
assistance of maximum of 40% of the cost of the projects from the Indian
Financial Institutions(FLs) including Banks. This limit has recently been
relaxed in certain cases and decision left to the FLs.
EXTERNAL SOURCES OF FUNDS
FOR POWER PROJECTS
Any country which has to invest
more than it saves itself has not another alternative but to utilise foreign
investments to fill the gap. The government can either borrow the funds
itself directly or through its public sector institutions/organisations,
or alternatively, it can attract foreign investment into its private
sector. The foreign private investment can come in two forms namely debts
instruments (loans, bonds etc.) by banks, institutions, investors, or direct
investment (FDI) by project promoters as equity or loans. In the long run,
FDI is considered more attractive as the promoters not only bring in better
technology and managerial efficiency but also share risks. Some host countries
are, however, still apprehensive of the foreign direct investment(FDI)
and consider it necessary to regulate its inflow. Foreign direct investment
plays a key role in the development of emerging nations, In recent years,
there has been strong growth in international capital flows, but the flow
of FDI to developing countries has not been enough. India has received
relatively lower level of FDI and in many cases particularly in power sector
the actual inflow has been far less than the approvals given.
Today the foreign private investors
have a choice to invest in various developing countries vying with each
other to attract such investment. What matters with the investors are the
incentives and expected returns, risks and securities and the procedural
time taken in clearances, controls etc. Many of the foreign investors would
not like to tie down expensive skilled staff resources for long periods,
waiting for the project to be awarded, contracts to be signed and other
procedures to be completed before they can achieve financial closure.
Foreign investors are concerned
that private sector development and investments in a host country should
be underpinned by the rule of law. The legal system of each country should
facilitate easy flow of investments. A greater uniformity of investment
rules is needed, to provide the actors in the development process with
the confidence that they will receive justice and fair terms when rules
are changed.
Another concern of foreign investors
is the risk of adverse legislative change, particularly the imposition
of discriminatory taxes or other discriminatory treatment and political
changes when earlier laws, policies, agreements can be arbitrarily changed.
The Complexity of tax laws is by itself a impediment to investment. Foreign
investors are more concerned about the threat of adverse change over the
long term period than about the attractiveness of short term incentives.
The main sources of international
finance are the following:-
Multilateral Institutions
Institutions like World Bank, IFC-Washington,
ADB and Commonwealth Development Corporation(CDC) have traditionally been
financing infrastructure projects in developing countries. The financing
comes with restrictive convenants, affordable cost, long tenure (of usually
more than 7 years) and in an assured manner. The co-financing facility
extended by some of the multilateral institutions is gaining popularity.
In many of these loans, sovereign guarantee is required.
Export Credit Agencies
(ECA)
ECAs are important sources of bilateral
funding. Credit is provided by ECAs such as, US Exim Bank, Exim Japan,
OPIC-USA,ECGD-UK, etc. ECAs have a long history of providing cheaper finance
for all types of power equipments, which is purchased from the respective
country. There are certain limitations in ECA financing like exposure limit,
exchange risk transfer to IPP, limitations of funding to 85% of equipment
in many cases, guarantee requirements and cost of insurance etc.
External Commercial Borrowings
(ECB)
These include Yankee Bonds, Samurai
Bonds, Dragon Bonds, Euro currency syndicated loans, US 144 A Private Placement,
Global Registered Notes (GRNs),Global Bonds, Medium Term note programme(MTNs).
Credit from Foreign Banks
Many foreign banks are helping to
provide term loans/funds. In some cases, these funds may be linked to purchases/supplies
from the respective countries.
Syndicated Loans
The special features of syndicated
loans are that they are available for medium to longer period; specific
to the requirements of the borrowers to suit their projects, and availability
of floating rate of interest. Most of the investors are Asian/European
Banks, Fls, Insurance Companies and pension funds.
US Rule 144 A Private Placement
Rule 144 A allows for private placement
of debt to financial institutions known as QIB without the kind of stringent
disclosures requirements needed for equity issues. Long tenure of bonds
and less restrictive convenants make this proposition conducive for financing
power projects.
Global Depository Receipts
(GDRs)
GDRs present an attractive avenue
of funds for the Companies. Companies can collect a large volume of funds
in foreign currency through GDR issues. GDRs are usually listed in Luxembourg
and traded in London in the over the counter market or among a restricted
group such as qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) in the USA.
Equity/Credit from Suppliers/Contractors
In many projects, the equipment
suppliers, EPC contractors can join hands with promoters and participate
in the equity. In many other cases they can provide credit on their own
or arranged through banks/investors.
The flow of foreign private investment
to developing countries is also related to the global capital markets and
economic situations in recipient countries. The turmoil in global markets
and economic situations in some of the countries in the region is well
known. It has adversely affected the flow of foreign investment, both in
terms of quantum of funds as well as cost of funds, besides many other
problems including risk coverage.
RISKS IN FINANCING OF PRIVATE
PROWER PROJECTS
Project Risks
With the large capital outlay and
long gestation period, the risk levels in power projects are quite high.
Various risks involved are :
-
Project implementation risks, including
geological risk
-
Operational risks-including fuel supply
risk
-
Commercial risks
-
Political risks
Some of these risks have to be borne
by project promoters while for some like fuel supply, necessary commercial
arrangements to pass through to buyers of powers and security mechanism
are generally considered.
Exchange Rate and Risk
Management
Exchange rate fluctuations may affect
international loans sizeably and necessary precaution has to be taken into
account. Various risks like currency risk, commodity rate risk and interest
rate risk may arise in the market.
Risk management is a way of insuring
against future exchange rate, interest rate and commodity price changes.
Emergence of Derivative tools like hedging forwards, options, futures,
and swaps, etc. are in a way help in risk management.
Security Package against
Risks.
The major risk , as perceived by
private power projects is the risk relating to low credit worthiness of
State Electricity Boards who will purchase power from IPPs. The initial
policy framework provided for a Central Govt. counter guarantee for payments
for power purchased from the seven "Fast Track" projects. This is not available
for other projects. In the absence of Central Govt. counter guarantee,
following alternatives have often been suggested :-
-
Direct supply to HT customers
-
Revolving L/C and Escrow account with
Utility
-
Escrow with FI counter guarantee
-
Linking generation with distribution
-
Escrow with charge on central government
devolution of state govt. funds
-
Supply to the Power Trading Corporation
backed by a security mechanism.
However, the major problem and limiting
factor is the escrowable capacity of the state power utilities due to their
poor financial health. There is no alternative but to improve the financial
status of these utilities through necessary reforms which help in cutting
losses, increasing efficiency, ensuring quality, adequate tariff and return
on investment.
ROLE OF PFC FUNDING OF
POWER PROJECTS
Power Finance Corporation(PFC) had
in the past been providing financial assistance mainly to the state power
utilities. Since 1998-99 it has started lending to the private sector.
From a lending level of about Rs. 800 crores in 1994-95, the Corporation
increased the disbursement to about Rs. 2500 crores in 1998-99. It has
projected a level of over Rs. 5,000 crores by the end of 9th Five Year
Plan. The Corporation has raised bonds in domestic and international markets
at very attractive rates. The interest rates charged by the Corporation
are very competitive, in fact the lowest for the power sector among all
Fls.
The Corporation is giving highest
priority to renovation, modernisation, life extension and upgradation of
existing generation projects system improvement, environment related projects
and completion of generation projects which have been held up for want
of adequate funds. All these are expected to yield benefits in a short
period of next 2-3 years.
The Corporation is giving next priority
to hydro power generation and transmission/distribution projects. The interest
rates charged by corporation are linked to the type of projects, being
lowest for the highest priority projects such as R&M system implemented
etc. and it gradually increases for other types of projects.
The Corporation has adopted a three
pronged approach in increasing its operations. Firstly it is now using
all instruments for financial assistance including term lending, leasing,
bill discounting, guarantees etc. Secondly, it has widened the scope of
projects to cover all types of power projects and power associated projects
which may be in other related sectors. Thirdly, it has widened the clientele
base to cover all types of borrowers. The Corporation follows a well established
appraisal system which goes in details of the viability of the projects
and credit worthiness of the borrowers.
As mentioned earlier, one of the
main reasons for the slow progress has been the poor financial health of
the state power utilities (State Electricity Boards) which would be the
main buyers of the power from these IPPs. Majority of these utilities are
faced with high transmission and distribution losses, low efficiency and
low tariff compared to cost of supply (particularly in the agricultural
sector). Power Finance Corporation has been working towards effecting improvements
in the state power utilities by marking such improvement action plans like
Operational and Financial Action Plan (OFAP) as a condition of loans to
them. Though earlier there was some improvement in some State Electricity
Boards, the situation has worsened recently and it has been utilities,
it will be difficult to make them financially viable and to attract the
private investments in power sector.
The World Bank and Asian Development
Bank have been working with a few state power utilities, using the leverage
of major loans, for initiating major reforms. Three states (Orissa, Haryana,
Andhra Pradesh) have already gone ahead with such reforms with the help
of World Bank, involving setting up to independent Regulatory Commissions,
unbundling and privatisation of distribution. Two more states (Rajasthan,
U.P are expected to take up reforms with the help of World Bank. Two states
(Gujarat, M.P. are expected to take up reforms with the help of ADB. Another
eight states have committed to take up similar major reforms with the help
of PFC. Remaining states are also expected of follow suit as reforms are
inevitable for the development of the power sector. It is expected that
the reforms in state power sector will ultimately lead to financially viable
utilities both in public and private sector and will help in accelerating
private sector investment in IPPs, transmission and distribution. This
will help in filling the gap between demand and supply of power and also
improve the quality of supply to consumers, at the same time reducing the
cost of supply through better performance, higher efficiency and cutting
down losses. |