In Search of 8% Growth:
India Economic Summit Rolls out its Agenda
By Gurdip Singh
The recently concluded
India Economic Summit, organized jointly by the World Economic Form (WEF)
and the Confederation of Indian Industry, began as a tame affair, without
the traditional inaugural address by the Prime Minister or the Finance
Minister. Instead, the three day summit, from November 24, 2002 started
with a discussion by CEOs of world giants and Indian Corporates on “New
Challenges of Today’s Corporate World”, chaired by the WEF President, Mr.
Klaus Scwab.
Customarily, the
inaugural session is addressed by the Prime Minister or Finance Minister
who enunciate government policies and future course of action. Often, the
Prime Ministers and other bigwigs of government have gone to Davos to address
the WEF meetings with an eye on foreign investment. However, the summit
in its 18-year history had gone without political heavyweights in the government,
which perhaps might have been caused by unending desires among chambers
to show their political clout in their conclaves.
What is the reason
that the government heavyweights refrained from addressing the inaugural
session? Perhaps it had to do with the AGM earlier this year where two
titans clashed — Congress President, Mrs. Sonia Gandhi and the Prime Minister,
Mr. Atal Bihari Vajpayee. Diverting from the norm the event was inaugurated
by Mrs. Gandhi who told the industrialists to observe which side the wind
is blowing. “When the leader of the opposition is invited by the country’s
leading industrialists to start off their annual get together, it is natural
to speculate what could be the motive? What sort of political winds are
blowing in what direction”, she quipped.
This infuriated
Mr. Vajpayee who took on the CII headlong. “It does not make business sense
to count one’s chickens before they are hatched. If invitations to inaugurate
or conclude conferences could make them speculate about an impending change
in the direction of political winds, then I must say such people seem to
think that chambers of commerce and Industry have more powers to make and
unmake governments than the people of India”, the Prime Minister told the
industrialists.
Nevertheless this,
CII put up a bold face at the summit with Mr. Tarun Das, its Director General
saying, “I was wondering that took us 18 years to understand that we do
not need a politician for our inaugural”. Mr. Scwab questioned the wisdom
of inviting top political leaders to listen to their monologue. He exhorted
the business community to use the occasion instead to tell the government
what it should do. He asked the corporates to use their clout with politicians
to further the industry’s agenda.
The organizers,
however, did rope in some key ministers for other sessions. The corporates
called upon the government to give a big push to the languishing reform
process, including disinvestment and labour reforms, to achieve the targeted
eight per cent annual growth during the Tenth Plan period. The message
was as clear as the day that any attempt to stall the reforms would mean
that the world would stop looking at the economic juggernaut, India, as
an investment destination. “Time is running out and the country is faced
with the risk of losing out to other competing countries”. The Prime Minister
should take courage and announce bold reforms. There was need to rise above
politics and achieve consensus among various political parties on the economic
agenda that the country needs to adopt to catapult the growth from around
five per cent to eight per cent.
There was good
news. Moody’s Investor Services announced that it would soon upgrade
India’s foreign currency rating. The reasons – substantial improvement
in India’s foreign exchange reserves and the fact that the country is not
a borrower in the United States or the European markets like Euro bonds.
At an impressive
dinner session, the External Affairs Minister, Mr. Yashwant Sinha asked
Indian industry to invest abroad in a big way, despite the lure of the
vast domestic market. “Go out. Go beyond exports. Go out and invest abroad”,
Mr. Sinha remarked. He asked Indian businessmen to emulate the Chinese.
Despite a huge domestic market, Chinese businessmen did not become prisoners
of its vast domestic market but constantly exported to and invested abroad.
Mr. Sinha said despite border problems, India and China have decided to
move ahead on all fronts.
Ironically, the
Communication and IT Minister, Mr. Pramod Mahajan, asked India Inc. to
get over their “Chinese Phobia”. Addressing another session, he warned
“this is the last seminar I am attending where the China factor has been
raised and if any such thing comes up in the future, I will not come ...
We are not competing with China but rather building our own nation. We
have to pick something from them, it should only be positive and nothing
beyond that.”
Expressing government’s
commitment and continued support to furtherance of industrial development,
Mr. Mahajan said that the Finance Ministry had agreed ‘in-principle’ to
lower the burden on telecom service providers by bringing the charges related
to license fees, revenue sharing and spectrum down to match international
levels in the next 2-3 years. Likewise, the Communication-IT Convergence
Bill would take final shape after May next year. It would be introduced
in the Lok Sabha in the later half of the Budget Session.
Eight Percent Economic Growth
At a stimulating
interactive session on “A road map to success: 8 per cent growth for 20
years” ideologues from different political parties, some of whom were part
of the reform process during the tenure of their respective governments
shared their perspective. The session was addressed by the Minister of
State for Law, Mr. Ravi Shankar Prasad, the former Finance Minister Mr.
P. Chidambaram, the Secretary of Economic Review Committee of Congress
Mr. Jairam Ramesh, the BJP economic thinktank member Mr. Jagdish Shettigar,
and CII’s chief economist Mr. Omkar Goswami.
Mr. Chidambaram
was highly critical of the government, as not a single reform initiative
had been taken by the present regime. There have been only intentions and
announcements but no concrete action. Achieving 8 percent growth would
require massive investments in agriculture and manufacturing, which were
not forthcoming.
Mr. Jairam Ramesh
argued that India needed another external crisis to spur economic reforms.
“Reforms happen in India out of compulsion and not conviction,” he said
adding that the country currently lacked the governance capability to implement
reforms and move on to a higher growth path. Some of the weaknesses of
the system are the nature of financing political parties, the adversarial
nature of institutions that harm consensus building, the dysfunctional
nature of incentives in the administrative system and fiscal pressures.
Mr. Jagdish Shettigar
felt that political consensus was a crucial aspect of economic reforms.
Otherwise, measures such as agricultural reforms and labour reforms would
continue to get projected as being anti farmer and anti-labour notwithstanding
the real facts to the contrary.
It was brought
out that industry had to play a key role in the development process by
bringing in financial disciplines and incorporating the principles of corporate
governance in their business operations. Nevertheless, the survival of
the industry in the global village scenario hinges on a pro-active government
that paves the way for competition.
By arrangement with Kaleidoscope |